How many fatalities will there be in a potential conflict between Venezuela and Guyana between now (December 10) and the end of 2024?

This includes military and civilian on both sides. If a third country intervenes then those fatalities will be included as well.

Only one bucket will be a winner.

I won’t participate in the market in case there are any grey areas with resolution like disputed number of fatalities.

Update:

Note that Wikipedia already lists several non-combat deaths that occurred on December 6. I will count non-combat deaths that happen after the start of the market. However, I must be convinced that they’re directly related to the military buildup. A training accident or military crash elsewhere in the country would not count. A helicopter crash patrolling the border would count. I’ll refrain from betting in the market so I can stay neutral for this.

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