Will RFK Junior reach 5 percent of the national Popular Vote? Current 538 polling average is 10.1 percent.
โž•
Plus
48
แน€19k
Nov 6
1.6%
chance

Get
แน€1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

-nvm- already reopenened, my manifold app was not updating

Surely this should not resolve until people have actually voted?

Even as someone who made money on this market, I concur that it's premature to resolve it. RFK is apparently still hoping to get votes in non-swing states. I think the odds are very long, but not zero.

re-opened

@jskf You may have to re-reopen

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules