Will all third parties reach a combined 5 percent nationally in 2024?

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resolved Nov 15

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NO

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@KA82205 Fairly clearly resolves NO, thank you.

@mods Resolves NO, thank you.

@mods clearly resolved too early, IMO. Same for all of @KA82205's other markets, which were all resolved today.

Re-opened. Thanks for also pointing out the other markets.

bought Ṁ150 NO

Gotta be lower with RFK dropping out

Will this be just third parties, not independent candidates? And I assume this refers to the presidential election.

@beepbooper I should clarify, it's everyone that isn't trump or biden, third party, independents included. So West, RFK Jr, Stein.

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Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?

Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032

Will a third party win a federal office in the US before the end of 2028?

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Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?

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Will a third party win a federal office in the US before the end of 2028?

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