Will the public know before christmas 2032 that either Vladimir Putin or Xi Jinping has received an organ transplant?
4
1kṀ3612032
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on mainstream reporting. If there is genuine credible uncertainty, defaults to NO. But official denials are not enough to resolve NO.
I will not be trading on this market or any markets even tangential to organ transplants for these leaders.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin outlive Xi Jinping?
31% chance
Will Vladimir Putin and Xi JingPing meet in person in year 2026?
85% chance
Will Vladimir Putin live longer than Xi Jinping?
31% chance
Will Vladimir Putin and Xi JingPing meet in person in year 2029?
34% chance
Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?
Will we find that Putin was secretly already dead (before 2020) by 2030?
2% chance
Will Xi Jinping and Putin still be elected officials when the US has a new President?
90% chance
Will Vladimir Putin and Xi JingPing meet in person in year 2027?
63% chance
Will Xi Jinping and Putin still be elected officials after the the next time an Incumbent is elected as president in US?
36% chance
Will Xi JingPing and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2025?
20% chance