The result, assuming the Gulf Stream System (AMOC) collapses. (aspirational or the opposite this market will ever close)
5
Ṁ150Ṁ1202100
80%
Cold winters in Europe
66%
At least Mini Ice Age
66%
>10 Iconic species go extinct
57%
Major crop types essentially wiped out
50%
Fullblown Ice Age
10%
Population collapse of humans to <25% current
Plenty of time to narrow down resolution definitions, discussion welcome. Also, do add answers.
Update 2025-11-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "At least Mini Ice Age": The effect only needs to affect Europe and Scandinavia to count - it does not need to be global in scope.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by: