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MANIFOLD
[Short fuse] Can I successfully cap my streak at 149 days (148 days at market creation)?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ48
resolved Oct 19
Resolved
NO

You can verify in my achievements that my longest streak so far is 149. Will I have the strength of will to not play in any markets for a sufficient time for the streak to nullify and have me start again, with the counter not going over 149, in the couple of coming days. I will go up to the 149 before testing my willpower and stoicism.

You can also verify that I am somewhat of a high frequency trader on the average historically as evidenced by my achievements. So the struggle will be real.

  • Update 2025-10-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that the discovery of the cleartext to KRYPTOS may influence their actions, which could affect whether they successfully cap their streak at 149 days.

  • Update 2025-10-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator's streak count has reached 149 days. They are now attempting to reset their streak so that the maximum remains at 149. During this attempt, they will continue checking in to Manifold but will test whether they can avoid trading absent-mindedly or being unable to resist trading opportunities.

  • Update 2025-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will NOT create a burner account to trade during the streak resetting attempt.

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Was'nt even greed, though the offending trade was a sure thing (silver 50 dollars) just pure absent mindedness

Very nearly absentmindedly traded

Clarifying here that I will NOT create a burner account to trade during the streak resetting

The flames have gone out from the streak icon but it hasn't reset yet. So far not feeling any withdrawal symptoms a couple of hours in

@traders My streak count is now at 149, and I am now going to attempt to reset so that max streak remains 149. To challenge myself, I will be checking in to manifold however. The test is whether I will trade absent mindedly, or be unable to resist a huge win.

How long a period of activity is required to reset the streak? From my experience, I think it's more than 24hrs.

@ae I would be interested to know too

@ae there is the cosideration of accidentally extending the streak

Fair notice. They have discovered the cleartext to KRYPTOS. This may influence my actions.