2026 Gävle Goat stand proud midnight 27th December Swedish time
3
Ṁ1kṀ960Dec 27
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By midnight I mean 23:59 swedish time on 27th December. By stand proud I mean not burnt, structurally intact, not eaten, not exploded, not dented.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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Market was at 16% when I bet; I have it around 52%. Since the double fence and 24-hour guards came in (2017), the goat made it to Dec 27 in 6 of 9 years by this market's rules. I took some off for the strict "not dented" wording and the 60th anniversary drawing attention. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G%C3%A4vle_goat