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MANIFOLD
Will Sergei Surovikin be well-rested in 2023?
9
Ṁ170Ṁ1.2k
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if reports say Surovikin has finished resting and photographs prove he is still alive (but not necessarily in uniform or still a general).

Resolves NO if reports say he still needs a bit more rest, or if something happened to him that prevents him from being in a restful state.

Also resolves YES if he finishes resting but afterwards dies, preventing him from being in a well-rested state at resolution date. But the report of him being rested has to be credible, and it can't be short-term rest like just a day before falling out of a building.

https://www.ft.com/content/b632ea3e-11e8-4574-8991-a74e1a223de1#post-1d93e8ee-f053-40c4-99be-7068edb85cdc

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He is no longer resting and went back to work in September. Resolves?

https://www.reuters.com/world/russian-general-algeria-apparent-return-work-after-wagner-mutiny-paper-2023-09-15/

Edit: it's not a recent photo! Maybe no photo evidence yet. There is one photo of him since the mutiny, but it is from whilst he was still on leave, so, not well-rested yet:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/sep/05/general-sergei-surovikin-russia-first-image-photo-release-wagner-mutiny

Um he is resting though... Final resting place 🪦🪦🪦

Should this resolve N/A is we don't hear any news at all?