Will Labour's party vote underperform opinion polling for the 2023 NZ General Election?
12
210Ṁ834resolved Nov 7
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Labour underperforms the trend-line for opinion polling here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_New_Zealand_general_election
Otherwise resolves NO
Refer to the right axis points on the 2020 Election page as an example:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2020_New_Zealand_general_election
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ33 | |
| 2 | Ṁ19 | |
| 3 | Ṁ6 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
47% chance
Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2025?
33% chance
If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?
Who will lead the NZ Labour Party at the next election?
Will the Liberal Democrats consistently outpoll the Conservative Party in 2025?
35% chance
Will Labour form a 2 term government?
46% chance