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MANIFOLD
Is gpt-4o-large-2024-08-13 real?
25
Ṁ100Ṁ2.9k
resolved Aug 17
Resolved
NO
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bought Ṁ10 YES

Why do we think this is a larper and not a leaker?

bought Ṁ50 NO

Will you resolve No after August 14th if nothing happens?

Yes, this market will resolve NO if this exact model ID is not available after August 14.

bought Ṁ30 YES

My understanding is it's expected to be released on Thursday (if you believe the tweets), so maybe you shouldn't resolve it until then?

Sounds good to me. Let’s say Friday as a safety margin.

(After all, my original question asked whether it’s real, not when or to whom it will be released.)

bought Ṁ1 YES

surely by "this exact model id" you don't mean it must include the date, right?

Yes, that’s correct.

Changing the deadline and not using the exact model date seem not in keeping with the original question - the linked GitHub indicated a specific date and so did the title and original resolution.