Will Congress revert tax law to allow for full expensing of US-based R&D in 2025?
4
1kṀ5342026
30%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2022, businesses could deduct their R&D expenses immediately (full expensing); after 2022, companies amortize R&D expenses over 5 years in the US and 15 years if foreign.
This question is just about US-based R&D, which could be a component of a broader tax package Congress is likely to address this year. Such a component has meaningful implications for AI/software/tech, etc..
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
14% chance
Will Congress extend the cap on SALT deductions by the end of 2025?
44% chance
Will Congress extend lower tax rates for individuals by the end of 2025?
61% chance
Will Congress extend lower tax rates for individuals by the end of 2025?
71% chance
Will Congress extend the cap on SALT deductions by the end of 2025?
69% chance
Will Congress extend or increase Child Tax Credit by the end of 2025?
71% chance
Will Congress extend or increase Child Tax Credit by the end of 2025?
83% chance
Will Section 174 tax changes be reversed in 2025?
62% chance
Will the Federal EV tax credit be repealed in 2025?
64% chance
Will there be taxes on "unrealized" capital gains in the US by the end of 2025?
4% chance