Resolution criteria

• Resolves YES if the official Tour de France site announces that the 2026 Grand Départ is reassigned to a non‑Spanish location, or if no tour stage starts in Spain

• Resolves NO if any stage starts in Spain (even if ceremonies such as the team presentation move) (letour.fr)

Background

• The current plan is a Barcelona Grand Départ: Stage 1 a 19.7 km team time trial in Barcelona on July 4, Stage 2 Tarragona→Barcelona on July 5, and Stage 3 Granollers→(into France) on July 6. (letour.fr)

• Barcelona and the city’s official Grand Départ site reiterate these dates and host cities. (letour.barcelona)

• Reuters reported ASO’s February 2025 announcement confirming the Barcelona TTT opener. (reuters.com)

Considerations

• Large protests disrupted Spain’s 2025 Vuelta a España, including a cancelled final stage in Madrid, highlighting potential security/logistics risks that could prompt late changes. This does not imply a move, but it is the main current tail risk. (theguardian.com)