Will 'missing' reporter Minnie Chan return to Hong Kong before October 2024?
Basic
4
Ṁ449
resolved Sep 30
Resolved
NO

Given that she's now been identified as missing (although this is inevitably contested), I anticipate that her arrival from Beijing to Hong Kong will receive sufficient media attention to render resolution concerns moot. However, I will not bet in this market in order to prepare for less desirably ambiguous eventualities.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2023/12/1/hong-kong-journalist-missing-after-reporting-trip-to-china-report-says

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Sorry for forgetting that I had said I wouldn't bet.

opened a Ṁ1 NO at 19% order

no news for a year :(

Dude make a multimarket.

@jskf is this a 'helpful suggestion' comment or a 'frustrated by perceived spamming' comment?

@JoshuaWilkes both. I thought my notifications were broken at first.

@jskf I'm just used to making these series of markets. In reflection I thin this case it would have been better to make one multimarket, but for another recent series I made (Gibraltar), I think there's genuine value in having people consider different dates somewhat separately from each other.

I think the difference is probably time frame?

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