Which NFL team will have the best regular season record in 2023?
Which NFL team will have the best regular season record in 2023?
43
1.9kṀ6782
resolved Jan 8
100%9%
Baltimore Ravens
8%
Kansas City Chiefs
13%
San Francisco 49ers
52%
Philadelphia Eagles
2%
Miami Dolphins
9%
Dallas Cowboys
0.2%
Buffalo Bills
4%
Detroit Lions
2%
Jacksonville Jaguars
0.6%Other

(in the 2023 season)

Please use full team names

Early closing market

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders


Sort by:
1y

Ravens Lost So they Finish 13-4 Record.

If the 49ers win, they tie at 13-4 Record.

If the 49ers lose, 12-5 49ers to Ravens 13-4 Record.

1 Game Left; Ravens 13-3 & 49ers 12-4

So will either be Ravens or Tie between Ravens & 49ers.

1y

@JoshuaWilkes Is this meant to close before end of season?

1y

@EvanDaniel yes, I'm doing quite a lot of markets which close earlier to increase the extent to which they are predictive rather than reactive.

When I made these I didn't realise some people really object to that concept so now I make it clear somewhere this is the case, but I wasn't doing that at this point.

1y

@JoshuaWilkes Thanks!

As a mod, I'm trying to clean up the backlog of closed questions that should be resolved, so a clear indication that it's intentional is useful.

As a trader, I would sometimes like to be able to exit my position at a profit once the answer becomes clear (without waiting for resolution), and am sometimes will to take on such positions to (effectively) collect interest or something. It's nice to know quickly which markets I should be avoiding.

1y

@EvanDaniel yeah, I can understand the need to clearly label early-closing markets. Do you want me to go through the few I have that are waiting resolution and label them now?

1y

@JoshuaWilkes If you don't mind, that would be helpful! It's not required or anything, though.

1y

@EvanDaniel I think it's good to build up norms; too much disagreement on Manifold results from honest misunderstandings that could be avoided

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules