MANIFOLD
Which country will be the first confirmed export customer of the Russian Su-57 Felon fifth-generation fighter jet?
5
Ṁ120Ṁ285
2029
87%
Algeria
2%
Iran
1.9%
India
1.8%
Other
1.3%
None before 2030

Please add countries

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3286605/chinas-zhuhai-air-show-russia-signs-deals-export-su-57-fighter-jet

  • Update 2026-01-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Evidence requirement: A Wikipedia article listing a country as a "potential operator" is not sufficient to confirm an export customer. More substantial evidence of a confirmed export deal will be required for resolution.

  • Update 2026-01-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Evidence requirement clarification: Sources that do not explicitly state which country received the fighters (e.g., those with phrases like "Russian sources did not explicitly state which country had received the fighters") will not be considered sufficient evidence for resolution. Explicit confirmation of the receiving country is required.

Market context
Russia
Military
Aviation
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bought Ṁ38 YES

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sukhoi_Su-57#Potential_operators
It seems almost certain that they're already part of the Algerian Air Force

@asmith I think we're going to need a bit more than this

bought Ṁ24 YES

@JoshuaWilkes https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/arab-world-first-stealth-algeria-su57

How about this?

@asmith

"Although Russian sources did not explicitly state which country had received the fighters,"

Let's just wait for something without this kind of glaring red flag

@JoshuaWilkes Okay.

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