MANIFOLD
Jet Lag: The Game Season Seventeen Truth Statements
26
Ṁ1.3kṀ5.3k
Apr 20
99%
An athlete says that any athlete needs to "lock in" **
99%
This season has more than five episodes
98.2%
We see a monkey
94%
This season has more than six episodes
88%
Sam says "We are so back" **
70%
An athlete mentions Chiang Kai-shek
67%
We see Taipei 101
66%
Any sitting Taiwanese or Chinese politician is mentioned by name
66%
Someone mentions the Japanese colonial period
65%
Ben gets drunk (canonically)
65%
An athlete mentions Xi Jinping
63%
Exactly one team will visit Ruisui station
59%
At least one athlete fully circumnavigates the island
59%
Sam mentions Choo Choo Chew
58%
We see a lighthouse
52%
Someone mentions the sugar railways
48%
The winning team has a score of at least 122 stations
47%
Neither team rides the HSR on at least one game day
46%
Someone says "that's just how the jets lag" **
45%
An athlete has to answer a riddle

Resolves to all that are true. I will add more as the season progresses.

I may bet unless something appears or becomes subjective, in which case I will not bet. If something unexpectedly becomes subjective after I've already established a position I will outsource resolution if necessary.

I don't promise to watch so religiously that I don't miss any of these, so bettors should proactively seek resolutions, but I do promise to go back and check time stamps if provided.

I will close this set of questions the day before the finale is broadcast on Nebula, and will not resolve until it has been shown on YouTube. Obviously information will have been transferred in many markets before then, so participate at your own risk of spoilers.

Likewise individual markets will resolve after relevant evidence is on YouTube.

In general, events must appear on screen to count. If footage or audio is lost but the episode still confirms it took place and mattered that would count, but referring to something happening in a way that makes it clear not showing it was an editorial choice would not count.

In this context, physical location or mode of transport always matters.

Things we see or here during the 'outro' where the producers talk directly to camera in a studio setting do not count, unless specified.

Likewise anything shown in an outtakes episode.

* Before the finale is broadcast on Nebula. Either a link or a screenshot.

**Or a recognisable variant of it

** * Defined as: Pingxi & Shen'ao line, Neiwan line, and Jiji line

**** Defined as: Danhai light rail, Ankeng light rail, Circular light rail

*****Stations which appear on the map but were closed during filming would not count.

  • Update 2026-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the phrase "we're so back" (or recognisable variants):

    • "we're back-er" (as said in the trailer) does not count, as it is distinct in spirit from "we're so back"

    • A phrase like "now we are back" would count, in the context of having previously said "We're back-er"

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Suggested question: Any Taiwanese or Chinese politician is mentioned by name

opened a Ṁ10 YES at 10% order

@Kraalnaxx I added the word sitting to sidestep discussions about what is a politician

@JoshuaWilkes Just want to make a careful point: the phrase "we're back-er" in the trailer isn't going to count, because Sam is specifically saying something distinct in spirit from "we're so back."

If however, he were to later say "now we are back," it would count.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy