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Jet Lag: The Game Season Seventeen Truth Statements
39
Ṁ1.3kṀ7.6k
Apr 29
99.7%
This season has more than six episodes
99.1%
Sam mentions Choo Choo Chew
99.1%
An athlete mentions Chiang Kai-shek
98.9%
Sam says "We are so back" **
81%
Neither team rides the HSR on at least one game day
79%
This season has more than seven episodes
75%
We see Taipei 101
74%
Exactly one team will visit Ruisui station
69%
The winning team has a score of at least 122 stations
63%
Any sitting Taiwanese or Chinese politician is mentioned by name
58%
We see a lighthouse
55%
A team takes a bus
54%
An athlete mentions Xi Jinping
53%
Someone mentions the Japanese colonial period
45%
At least one athlete is audibly confused by two different English spellings of the same place
37%
An athlete says Taiwan Number One
37%
An athlete bids the CCP 'adieu'
35%
An athlete eats "Small sausage in big sausage"
33%
Someone mentions Taiwan's indigenous peoples
33%
An athlete mentions "cooked goose" **

Resolves to all that are true. I will add more as the season progresses.

I may bet unless something appears or becomes subjective, in which case I will not bet. If something unexpectedly becomes subjective after I've already established a position I will outsource resolution if necessary.

I don't promise to watch so religiously that I don't miss any of these, so bettors should proactively seek resolutions, but I do promise to go back and check time stamps if provided.

I will close this set of questions the day before the finale is broadcast on Nebula, and will not resolve until it has been shown on YouTube. Obviously information will have been transferred in many markets before then, so participate at your own risk of spoilers.

Likewise individual markets will resolve after relevant evidence is on YouTube.

In general, events must appear on screen to count. If footage or audio is lost but the episode still confirms it took place and mattered that would count, but referring to something happening in a way that makes it clear not showing it was an editorial choice would not count.

In this context, physical location or mode of transport always matters.

Things we see or here during the 'outro' where the producers talk directly to camera in a studio setting do not count, unless specified.

Likewise anything shown in an outtakes episode.

* Before the finale is broadcast on Nebula. Either a link or a screenshot.

**Or a recognisable variant of it

** * Defined as: Pingxi & Shen'ao line, Neiwan line, and Jiji line

**** Defined as: Danhai light rail, Ankeng light rail, Circular light rail

*****Stations which appear on the map but were closed during filming would not count.

  • Update 2026-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the phrase "we're so back" (or recognisable variants):

    • "we're back-er" (as said in the trailer) does not count, as it is distinct in spirit from "we're so back"

    • A phrase like "now we are back" would count, in the context of having previously said "We're back-er"

  • Update 2026-04-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding 'Ben gets drunk (canonically)':

    • The show must make it clear he is drunk, not just drinking

    • A challenge like 'Drink a Pina Colada' would not auto-resolve YES unless Ben is also visibly drunk or verbally confirmed to be drunk (on the show or on Layover)

    • A challenge explicitly saying 'Get Drunk' would auto-resolve YES

  • Update 2026-04-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding clips from previous seasons: a clip shown in the current season that originated from a previous season can still count for resolution purposes. There is nothing in the description that eliminates such clips.

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https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/jet-lag-the-game-season-twelve-trut#9nqv6caiheq

"People obviously expected this to resolve to NO, which sucks. But the episode clearly showed Adam singing it and there is nothing in the description to eliminate a clip from a previous season."

bought Ṁ10 NO

@JoshuaWilkes One of the Jet Leg trio tweets about this market before the finale*
This has to resolve no, right?

@100Anonymous edited

@100Anonymous this does mean the answer has been wrong for about ten seasons

@JoshuaWilkes

https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/jet-lag-the-game-season-eight-truth#AQmOcONYvj7ftXpdTRNl

@JoshuaWilkes "in some way the show makes it clear that he is drunk, not just drinking.

For example, if there was a challenge Drink a Pina Colada in the Rain this would not auto resolve to YES unless Ben is also shown to be visibly drunk, or him being drunk is referenced verbally in the show or on Layover

Whereas, if the challenge says Get Drunk... it will auto resolve to YES (I think this is the more likely scenario)"

@JoshuaWilkes Ep 4 24m

@JoshuaWilkes has this happened yet on YouTube?

@JoshuaWilkes Ep 4 11m

Suggested question: Any Taiwanese or Chinese politician is mentioned by name

opened a Ṁ10 YES at 10% order

@Kraalnaxx I added the word sitting to sidestep discussions about what is a politician

@JoshuaWilkes Just want to make a careful point: the phrase "we're back-er" in the trailer isn't going to count, because Sam is specifically saying something distinct in spirit from "we're so back."

If however, he were to later say "now we are back," it would count.

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