Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will I believe that I have recently gotten creator bonuses from Mayor Pete in the VP market near the end of Friday?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ829
resolved Jul 27
Resolved
NO

I currently believe that I’ve gotten no creator bonuses from Pat’s VP market. Resolves YES if on Friday my belief is that I have gotten some (in the month before Friday). I suspect if this happens it’ll be half of the trader’s fees, as that’s seemingly the current payoff method, but that exact ratio or payout calculation method is not required for a YES resolution.

In other words, if I believe that I have gotten any trading bonuses in the past month, whether I just sorta get a bunch on Thursday (or whenever), or someone convinces me that I was already getting them (I’d be surprised if this happens). Sorry I’m not phrasing this super clear, but I hope I got the point across.

If it becomes clear that answer adders aren’t supposed to get creator bonuses, I may resolve NO early.

It’s not ideal for my bottom line if I only got credited for creator bonuses from y’know whenever it’s fixed to Friday, but it would still count for a YES resolution.

Relevant top level comment on VP market. I’m making this market cause I’m poor again, and somewhat salty I’m not getting bonuses for past me’s prescience. Well, also cause this seems like a bug!

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ77
2Ṁ55
3Ṁ15
4Ṁ14
5Ṁ4
Sort by:

Resolved NO since I didn’t believe in my getting trader’s bonuses when I went to bed late last night (fwiw still don’t believe I’ve gotten any VP one’s as of this morning). I don’t really know whether I was supposed to, but I don’t believe that I did

yeah, that's a shame. The creator bonuses for Multiple Choice are a nice incentive to add answers, especially with the increased cost

Same.

I’m scared that y’all are accurately betting on my beliefs without me giving an update

Whoops, sorry @Predictor! I was saying it’s impressive everyone was getting their NO bets right

I continue to disbelieve that I’ve gotten creator bonuses