Other markets currently think that it's fairly likely Trump will both be convicted and that he'll be the nominee. Do the same people think both things will happen? Let's find out!

Resolves according to reliable media reports, with Wikipedia as the arbiter of any amiguities. Edge cases: Taking a plea deal counts as conviction, conviction counts even if Trump plans to appeal, nomination is determined by getting enough delegates even if the convention hasn't happened yet.

Market close date will be moved as necessary once we know which primaries will determine the nominee and on what day any juries will reach a verdict.