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MANIFOLD
Will the winner of the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary go on to secure the party’s nomination? (2024)
35
Ṁ650Ṁ24k
resolved Mar 19
Resolved
YES

Inspired by a New York Times opinion article by New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, which ends in a prediction:

Resolves YES if the winner of the Republican NH primary becomes the Republican nominee for president, and NO if they do not.

Resolution date will be moved up as necessary once it becomes clear which primaries will deliver the required number of delegates to secure the nomination. Also resolves early if the winner of the NH primary drops out of the race.

Resolution will wait for the convention only if a contested convention seems likely.

I will not trade in this market.

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bought Ṁ3,000 YES

Oh, forgot about this market. Trump is the presumptive nominee so this should resolve now.

sold Ṁ4,326 YES

@Joshua Oh, whoops I wasn't supposed to trade here lol. Anyone want the liquidity before I resolve?

Why on Earth was this so low?

@JosephNoonan I've been bamboozled.

predictedYES

@zzlk how

@JosephNoonan By not reading the title/description properly.

Is there anything I could edit to make it more clear? I was just trying to stick to the wording of the quote by Sununu.

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