Will Congress pass legislation funding the federal government beyond the March 22nd deadline? (Midnight ET)

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President Biden has signed legislation funding some government agencies through September 30th, but a shutdown is not yet averted.

Senators will now work to pass the remaining six appropriations bills funding the Departments of Defense, Labor, Health and Human Services, Homeland Security and other priorities before the March 22 deadline.

If the House and Senate pass funding legislation for these agencies before the deadline, this market resolves Yes. If they do not, this market resolves No. Biden signing the legislation before the deadline is not required for this market.

For more markets about the potential shutdown, see the Dashboard.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Well they've missed the deadline, but they're still voting. OMB gets to decide if it's a shutdown, as I understand it.

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

guys please this is not an arb, it is physically impossible for them to get to final passage in 9 minutes

@SemioticRivalry as i've worded it does this one resolve independently of OMB you think?

bought Ṁ125 NO

@Joshua oh yeah i think this is no if they don't pass it by midnight, regardless of omb lawyering

@SemioticRivalry ok yeah I think so

bought Ṁ10 NO

"If the House and Senate pass funding legislation for these agencies before the deadline, this market resolves Yes."

When's the deadline? Also, is it just the house/senate, or does Biden have to also sign into law?

@gpt_news_headlines Midnight ET, Biden doesn't have to sign for this market.

@Joshua I see. For house/senate to pass, are there any requirements beyond that like going to conference? Do they have to pass identical bills?

@gpt_news_headlines same bill, has to be possible for Biden to sign it

bought Ṁ20 NO

feel like high-80s is underrating the odds of a 12 hour to 3 day shutdown

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