Will anyone credibly report that they are commenting on Manifold for homework by market close?
12
164
210
resolved Mar 2
Resolved
NO

Previously, some weird comments that looked like bot-spam turned out to be from human students.

However, Manifold still has a lot of bot spam. Are we sure that all the students are done doing manifold comments for homework, and that no other homework like this has been assigned? Hopefully, this market will help.

This market resolves Yes if anyone reports that they have been writing Manifold comments for homework in the time between the creation of this market and its close on March 1st, 2024.

I may require evidence, depending on the credibility of the claim. The claim can be made either in the comments of this market or anywhere else on Manifold.

If no credible claim is made before market close, this market resolves No.

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@wordle unlimited I'm betting No. While there have been instances of bot-like comments in the past mistaken for student work, I believe most educators are aware of the potential for misuse and have likely adjusted their assignments accordingly.

Any subject coordinators want to do some collusion?

bought Ṁ20 of NO

These two comments were posted 1 minute and 15 seconds apart, which either means pre-written comments or a superhuman typing speed:

https://manifold.markets/Manifold/will-elon-musk-step-down-from-being#gxT7I45kvA81r5uCnl26

https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/who-will-win-the-uefa-champions-lea-0e7ac45307c6#uKe7AuAXzq7rFh0ZGuLm

So I don't think this one is a student writing comments themselves