What will be the single most impressive action that I witness at Less Online & Manifest?
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Plus
14
Ṁ1323
resolved Jun 11
100%24%Other
2%
Someone dancing
2%
Someone calling someone famous and having them pick up
7%
Someone wrestling or engaging in some other form of combat
2%
Someone playing poker
3%
Someone singing or playing an instrument
2%
Someone making a prediction
2%
Someone giving a Less Online speech/talk
7%
Someone giving a Manifest speech/talk
3%
Someone persuading someone of something in a conversation
3%
Someone doing a magic trick
11%
Someone causes a market to resolve in a hilarious and unexpected way
6%
A rap battle
3%
Someone destroys a piñata in broad daylight
4%
Someone builds a pyramid
9%
Shibari
9%
Something crossword related

There are sure to be many impressive people doing impressive actions at Less Online, Summer Camp, and Manifest. I will try to keep track of the impressive actions I see by writing them down in comments of this market.

Then at the end of the trip, I will try to fairly determine what the most impressive action I saw was and resolve this market to the corresponding option.

I am not currently sure exactly how I will choose which action is most impressive, and will probably update these resolution criteria later.

I think that I will probably be biased towards novelty, and would be more impressed by something I have never seen done before. So if I see two very similarly impressive actions but one of them is new to me, I'd probably consider that action more impressive.

Aside from that subjective element of what I have and haven't personally seen before, I will try to keep my personal taste out of the market as much as possible in order to keep the resolution as predictable as possible for traders.

I might also ask for the opinion of other people at LO/Manifest, or create a poll. It might depend on how many people end up trading in this market.


You can submit additional options to this market, or suggest them in the comments for me to add, but please try to avoid overlap with existing options. If I think a submitted option is redundant with an existing option, I will edit it.

Please also try to keep submissions narrow even if they do not overlap with existing options, so as to allow room for other people to add options that do not overlap with your submission. A more specific submission will also probably get you more favorable odds to bet on.

I will not trade in this market.

See also:

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Saw many impressive people doing impressive things, but I was most impressed by Michael's sketches of various users' avatars and various aspects of the Peloponnesian War. Therefore resolves to Other.


Impressive crossword skills during the quant trading competition

Impressive artistic skills from @MichaelWheatley

Kudos to @TonyPepperoni

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