What will be Manifold's first Bad Tweet Of The Month?
28
192
780
resolved May 17
100%98.6%
Roko: "...The net total productivity contribution of women to GDP is negative, and by a very large amount." https://twitter.com/RokoMijic/status/1770045723188383975
0.1%
Hanania: "if you need to wash your hands after using the urinal, you're doing it wrong" https://x.com/RichardHanania/status/1774499705218863199
0.1%
Yacine: "utilitarianism is what happens to slaves when they lose God" https://twitter.com/yacineMTB/status/1774474147059347656
0.0%
Peter Singer: "zoophilia is more morally correct/responsible than eating animals" https://x.com/PeterSinger/status/1723269850930491707
0.2%
typec: "there's something wrong with women who actually enjoy eating" https://twitter.com/typeclonghouse/status/1784989068884910217
0.2%
roko: you absolutely should be able to birth people into debt https://twitter.com/RokoMijic/status/1777721375479787888
0.1%
Vaush: Morally speaking, Israel-Palestine is not complicated. https://twitter.com/VaushV/status/1712256332194312544
0.1%
Roko: AGI should distribute the cosmic endowment partially in line with the distribution of present-day wealth https://twitter.com/RokoMijic/status/1651740662436339713
0.2%
Leem: "Car insurance should give you back your money if you don’t get in an accident. We getting scammed yall" https://twitter.com/leemahbo/status/1777737311339581809
0.1%
roko: You can probably just look at the Sun. Your eyes are well-adapted to it. https://twitter.com/RokoMijic/status/1777445253739389255
0.2%
Matt Walsh: "A lot of theories to explain this but it’s very clearly like 98 percent because of porn" (context in tweet) https://twitter.com/MattWalshBlog/status/1783918984208765414
0.2%Other

My market Good Tweet Bad Tweet has been running for one month now. We have now identified many bad tweets. But which tweet is worst? This market will resolve based on an approval voting poll/market that I will run with all submitted tweets.

All submissions must have been submitted to my Good Tweet Bad Tweet market and been ruled to be a Bad Tweet to be eligible for the poll. Note that you can submit tweets that have not yet been judged to be Bad, as long as they have not yet been judged to be Good. But they must be judged to be Bad before the resolution poll is created, or they will be excluded.

I came up with this idea on the penultimate day of the month, so I won't actually be strict about it being just about April. I'm thinking I'll make the resolution poll on Sunday the 5th, so you still have time to submit new Bad Tweets and have them certified.

This market and the resolution poll/market will then be open from the 5th to the 12th, and close simultaneously. The highest voted tweet will be crowned Bad Tweet Of The Month.

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Extended 48 hours due to a tie between the top two options.

Resolution poll is up!

bought Ṁ24 Roko: "...The net to... YES

Everybody! Let's be ethical! Being unethical is bad, and we should be ethical!

bought Ṁ10 Roko: "...The net to... YES

More than 50% of the probability mass is just from Roko tweets, love to see it

I feel like most of these Roko takes have a somewhat reasonable steelman, but halving the labor force is just definitely not going to help anyone.

Peter Singer: "zoophilia is more morally correct/responsible than eating animals" https://x.com/PeterSinger/status/1723269850930491707
bought Ṁ100 Peter Singer: "zooph... NO

This one's probably not even going to resolve in time to be included.

@PlasmaBallin Yeah it only gets added to the poll if it resolves by this saturday

And uhhh

bought Ṁ10 Roko: "...The net to... YES

@Joshua Yeah, even if it gets added there's obviously not enough agreement on it being bad for it to be voted worse than Roko's tweets

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