What is true about the "Serious National Security threat" that House Intel Chair Mike Turner is asking to declassify?
361
40kṀ220k
resolved Apr 2
Resolved
YES
It's related to Russia
Resolved
YES
It is related to space
Resolved
YES
It will be known by April what country/group the threat is from
Resolved
YES
It's an anti-satellite system
Resolved
YES
A majority poll of Manifold users will agree that it is really is a "serious national security threat"
Resolved
YES
It's related to electromagnetic/electronic warfare
Resolved
YES
There is a threat to satellites in orbit
Resolved
YES
It’s related to a new weapon
Resolved
YES
The threat violates the 1967 Outer Space Treaty
Resolved
YES
It's related to space-to-space weapons
Resolved
YES
It is related to nuclear emp
Resolved
YES
It is related to a risk of violence through non-ballistic means
Resolved
YES
It is capable of creating a large EMP to take out huge area of satellites
Resolved
YES
It's still under development and not yet deployed
Resolved
YES
It is related to Nuclear weapons (Someone now has them, someone is now close to having them, etc)
Resolved
YES
Russia wants to deploy nuclear weapons into space
Resolved
N/A
The Russian military has drawn up a plan for its use
Resolved
N/A
It will be on the front page of the NYT in the week after it is declassified
Resolved
N/A
Mike Turner has asked to declassify it
Resolved
NO
A congressional representative or government official will explicitly use it to argue for ongoing US aid to Ukraine

Free response, all options that I believe we know to be true before April resolve Yes, options we don't know to be true resolve No. Options can resolve yes or no early as we learn specifics.

Options where I find it too difficult to judge or which are poorly phrased resolve N/A.

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