All-purpose market for prop bets about montreal rationalists. By default, bets expire at market close (EOY) but you can add options with other end dates. Options resolve Yes if the thing happens after the option was submitted and before the end date, or No otherwise.
Options resolve N/A if ambiguous, anyone can also ask me to resolve options N/A for any reason.
Update 2026-07-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The option "Jodie moves Elsewhere" refers to moving to a different city, not just moving out of a specific residence within the same city.
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@Joshua that was mostly the intent but I didn't specify (even mentally I was sorta fuzzy on what this was about) so probably just N/A it
@Joshua this can resolve yes. Unless it was meant as more permanent, in which case the current odds are ridiculous.
@Bayesian : i assume this can resolve "no" (or "yes"), after asking jeremy.
@ShimmeringDroplet @Joshua : jodie has moved out of lesshouse to a new home. afaik the new home is not meant to be temporary. does that count for this market?
@Joshua : you resolved that wrong. the demo and beta came out but not the kickstarter. see https://discord.com/channels/987838207267848243/1357764623318913036/1475334373338255546
(i am making mana when this resolves "yes", but i care more about accuracy of market resolving)