Approval Voting: Hank Green asks, who are the best famous people?
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resolved Mar 23
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Aella
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Albert Einstein
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Barack Obama
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Betty White
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Bob Ross
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Dolly Parton
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Elon Musk
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Hank Green
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Jack Black
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Jesus Christ
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Jimmy Carter
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John Goodman
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John Green
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Jonas Salk
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Keanu Reeves
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Mahatma Gandhi
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Martin Luther King Jr.
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Mother Theresa
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Mozi (墨子)
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Mr. Rogers

This may look like a market, but it is actually a poll. All options will resolve to N/A, all mana spent will be returned. The market is unranked and unsubsidized.

This is the resolution poll for this market:

Based on this tweet.

This is poll resolves based on Approval Voting. You can buy YES shares in an option to vote for that person.

At market close at Noon PT on Saturday the 23rd, this poll and the original market will both close. The original market will then resolve based on this market's final state, with the winner being the person who has the most individual users holding YES shares. It doesn't matter how many shares they hold, or who the users are. Bots will also count towards the total.

Then, all options in this market will resolve N/A.

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Singlehandedly prevented global thermonuclear war. Can't come close to the votes of a children's tv show host. SMH

Mr. Rogers

It's Mr Rogers birthday today - do the right thing people 🎈

@shankypanky Coincidentally, today John Green was recognized by the center for disease control as a Tuberculosis Elimination Champion.

This is of course entirely unrelated to the many shares of Yes I have in John in the original market.

@Joshua :shoo:

LOL

I mean it's cool that he got a recognition today and has the rest of his life to get more recognitions for hopefully more things.

Here's the legacy of a dead guy who should live on in the hearts of the youth of today who don't even know what public access television is and who should be honoured in a very niche corner of the internet!

https://www.cnn.com/2008/LIVING/wayoflife/07/28/mf.mrrogers.neighbor/

https://greatergood.berkeley.edu/article/item/seven_lessons_from_mister_rogers_That_can_help_americans_be_neighbors_again

Is there any effect from no shares?

sold Ṁ11 Mr. Rogers NO

@Joshua Lol it looks like people are placing large no bets on their preferred choices (e.g. Mr Rogers) to incentivise others to profit from betting yes, distorting the vote

bought Ṁ3 Answer #3d6259218682 NO

@TheAllMemeingEye "Then, all options in this market will resolve N/A."

We need a way to sort by poll order

@robm Select High % at upper left “sort” pull down menu

@SusanneinFrance that's distorted by the size of the bets

bought Ṁ5 Hank Green YES

I truly don't understand this market. Is everyone just voting for Mr. Rogers because they bet on him in the other market? He's currently leading 11-5!!! That's crazy. MLK Jr. has TWO votes. Ghandi has ONE.

@benshindel it's MR ROGERS Ben be reasonable

@benshindel He won the Ultimate Showdown of Ultimate Destiny.

@benshindel Don't fight the memes.

@benshindel Yeah, I don't think Manifold is set up to answer questions like these accurately.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 What would "accurately" even mean for such a question?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Mr. Rogers seems like a decent answer. The obvious distortion is on the Green brothers, who would not be nearly so high up if this hadn't originated from their tweets.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 It might be which meme gets the most traction with the biggest whale, or several, and us arbitraging their push for/fight about it

@HarrisonNathan "Accurately" meaning based on what people actually believe, rather than what gets them mana.