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MANIFOLD
Any new Veo model released during Google I/O
4
Ṁ100Ṁ250
May 20
12%
chance
54

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Google releases a new, previously unreleased "Veo" model (e.g., a successor to the current Veo 3.1) during the Google I/O 2026 developer conference, held May 19–20, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.

Verification can be done via the official Google I/O website (https://io.google) or the Google DeepMind news portal (https://deepmind.google).

To resolve YES, it must be a specific Veo model released during Google I/O; generic commitments to continue work on Veo will not count. The model must be available to a US Google AI Ultra subscriber, either through API, through a website, or through an app.

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Gemini Omni is interesting, but is not named Veo and thus will not resolve this.