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MANIFOLD
Will bitcoin reach 81000 by 10/31/2026 11:59pm
5
Ṁ1kṀ1.2k
Oct 31
34%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) in US Dollars reaches or exceeds $81,000.00 at any point between market creation and October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

Resolution will be determined using the BTC/USD spot price on Coinbase or aggregate index pricing on CoinGecko / CoinMarketCap. If Coinbase data is unavailable, major liquid USD spot exchanges (such as Bitstamp or Kraken) will serve as fallback sources.

Note: Because markets must be forward-looking, any historical instances of Bitcoin trading at or above $81,000 prior to the market's launch date do not count toward resolution. Reaching the threshold requires an intraday high or transaction at or above $81,000 during the active market window.

Background

Bitcoin previously crossed the $81,000 mark in late 2024 and traded above $120,000 during 2025. Following broader market corrections and monetary policy developments, BTC has regularly traded in the $75,000–$85,000 range in late 2026.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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