Resolves YES to whichever day Assad loses power in Syria (resolution criteria on https://manifold.markets/JoshCohen/when-will-assad-lose-power-in-syria) according to reputable reporting (NYT, WSJ, official US govt announcements, etc).

Dates are in Eastern time zone, US

Will likely wait a few days to resolve to ensure accuracy of the date.

Market will be extended as needed, all current dates are 2024

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market will resolve to the date when Assad fled Damascus, based on reputable reporting.

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market will resolve based on Eastern time zone (US). For Assad to have fled on Dec 8th, he must have fled after 8 AM local time in Syria.

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): For Assad to have fled on a given date, he must have fled after 8 AM local time in Syria on that date. If he fled before 8 AM local time, the market will resolve to the previous date.