What will be Manifold's favorite work overall?
15
565Ṁ1143
resolved Oct 13
100%62%
xkcd
1.2%
The Matrix
4%
Breaking Bad
18%
Destiny
16%Other

My Manifold Survey asks users to give their rankings of works in fourteen different categories of media. These individual rankings are converted into numbers so that an overall score can be calculated: The sum of the rankings from each respondent who has seen/read/etc. each work. I have individual markets on which work will win in each category, which you can find in the Manifold's favorites category. But which work will have the highest score of all?

I already have a market asking which category the work will be from, but this one asks for the specific work that will be the overall favorite.

See Plasma's Manifold Survey for other questions about the survey.

The survey is officially out! You can take it here: https://forms.gle/xZqWVxuY5irgLigu9

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i lost so much mana on the other markets this one literally is the reason I'm not broke lol

Wow, I didn't know Manifold is THIS nerdy

@JosephNoonan Love it!

xkcd shouldn't be higher here than on the favorite webcomic market.

@JosephNoonan yes it should xkcd is a W webcomic

@lag If xkcd is the favorite work overall, then it's also the favorite webcomic, so the probability of it winning the favorite webcomic market should always be higher than the probability of winning this market. If you think it will win this market as well, you should still buy shares in the favorite webcomic market first because they're at the same price, and there's less risk of buying those shares.

@JosephNoonan true lol

I think there's a dynamic where although The Matrix is a masterpiece and everyone knows it in their hearts, they may nonetheless not report so on a survey. They might rate it lower as a kind of way of signalling "I'm more philosophically sophisticated now than I was when I was a teenager and found The Matrix mindblowing", or "I didn't really like the sequels". It's not conscious, but those thought processes nonetheless can affect responses I think.

Possibly some of the same with Breaking Bad and xkcd - but I suspect strongest with The Matrix.

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