On my upcoming survey, I will ask, "If you live in the U.S., what party do you vote for the most often?" This will resolve to the number who say they vote for Democrats divided by the number who say they vote for Republicans. If the ratio falls exactly on the boundary between two bins, it will resolve equally to both bins.
See Plasma's Manifold Survey for other questions about the survey.
The survey is officially out! You can take it here: https://forms.gle/xZqWVxuY5irgLigu9
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ609 | |
| 2 | Ṁ260 | |
| 3 | Ṁ62 | |
| 4 | Ṁ31 | |
| 5 | Ṁ17 |
There were 29 times as many Democrats as Republicans.
https://plasmabloggin.substack.com/p/survey-results-pt-1-rationalists
@JosephNoonan BIG UPDATE FOR ME LMAO, I think I've given too much credence to the vocal twitter cryptoreactionaries.
@evergreenemily I was planning to include an options for "I usually vote for an independent or third-party candidate." The number of people who choose that option won't have an influence on this market, though.