Resolution criteria

This is a dependent multiple-choice market. Only one option will resolve to YES, and the remaining options will resolve to NO.

The market will resolve based on whether any of the following events occur after market creation and before August 1, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC:

• Jesus Christ will return: Resolves to YES if there is consensus global news coverage (e.g., AP, Reuters, BBC) confirming the literal, theological Second Coming of Jesus Christ.

• Trump will fart in public: Resolves to YES if there is verifiable, widely reported audio, video, or reputable media confirmation of Donald Trump flatulating in a public setting or during a live broadcast. Satirical edits, unverified social media claims, or ambiguous noises will not suffice.

• Germany will start WW3: Resolves to YES if Germany initiates a military offensive or declares war in a conflict explicitly and widely reported by major global news sources as the beginning of "World War III".

• Nothing: Resolves to YES if none of the above three options are verified to have occurred before the August 1, 2026 deadline.

In the event that multiple eligible occurrences happen before the deadline, the option corresponding to the event that occurred first chronologically will resolve to YES. If no definitive evidence can be provided for any of the first three options, the market will resolve to Nothing.

Background

This market covers a highly diverse set of potential events ending on August 1, 2026. While the return of Jesus Christ and Germany starting World War III represent major geopolitical or theological milestones, Donald Trump's public conduct has frequently been the subject of viral internet rumors, satirical audio edits, and media speculation. Since this market covers all possible outcomes and no new options can be added, "Nothing" serves as the default resolution if none of the specific events can be verified by credible, objective sources before the deadline.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.