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MANIFOLD
Will this market's probability be at least 42.0% for at least 42.0% of the time it remains open?
12
Ṁ230Ṁ1.8k
resolved Dec 26
Resolved
YES

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Duration is 7.33 days. 7.33*0.42 = 3.07986

So the Yes resolution criterion was fulfilled around 6pm on Christmas