Will the US existing home median sales price be lower than $365,000 USD for April 2023?
18
76
370
resolved May 19
Resolved
NO

This question will resolve based on April 2023 data from ycharts (https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_existing_home_median_sales_price) when it becomes available.

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bought Ṁ200 of NO

I think this is a done deal for "no" at this point.

sold Ṁ54 of YES

I quit this market for now because I need to think about it more. With Feb at $363k, seasonality increasing prices, and rising interest rates causing prices to fall, I'm not sure where it will end up. It could be pretty close to $365k for April 2023.

bought Ṁ60 of YES

I'm buying more yes because interest rates are likely to go up more.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

You picked another tough cutoff! :)