Will the US existing home median sales price be lower than $365,000 USD for April 2023?
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resolved May 19
Resolved
NO

This question will resolve based on April 2023 data from ycharts (https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_existing_home_median_sales_price) when it becomes available.

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I think this is a done deal for "no" at this point.

I quit this market for now because I need to think about it more. With Feb at $363k, seasonality increasing prices, and rising interest rates causing prices to fall, I'm not sure where it will end up. It could be pretty close to $365k for April 2023.

I'm buying more yes because interest rates are likely to go up more.

You picked another tough cutoff! :)