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MANIFOLD
Will I get into the following _____ in 2026?
55
แน€1.2kแน€10k
May 21
82%
USAPHO Bronze
28%
IOI
Resolved
YES
USACO camp
Resolved
YES
USAPHO

My stats:

MOP '24 (30 on JMO)

20 on USAMO '25 (Bronze)

USACO Finalist '24

100/0/300/700 in USACO '25 plat season
USAPHO '24 Bronze

14 on F=MA '25

Current scores:

333/500 in USACO

138/144 on AMC 12

12 on AIME

  • Update 2026-03-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A new option for USAPHO Bronze has been added to the market, following the creator qualifying for USAPHO.

  • Update 2026-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A new option for IOI (International Olympiad in Informatics) has been added to the market, following the creator qualifying for USACO Camp.

Market context
Competition Math
Physics Competitions
Competitive Programming
College Admissions
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I will not bet on this market, and will not update any of my current results besides plat leaderboard performances

View original context

Lowkey forgot I set the market to close today, I've extended it to May 21 (when USACO Camp starts).

Can you resolve SPARC? AFAIK all decisions should be out.

@__lockheedmartin I'm hesitant to resolve because I haven't actually received a rejection, but I guess the timeline aligns with it.

bought แน€10 NO

@JonathanHe Are you a returner? I got my acceptance like 3 weeks ago and returners supposed to be like 2 weeks ago... you should probably ask for an update.

@__lockheedmartin No, I got waitlisted and just received the final rejection yesterday.

@JonathanHe Ah, condolences.

Update:
Got into USACO Camp. Added a new option for IOI.

Update:

Qualified for USAPHO. Added a new option for USAPHO Bronze.

I will not bet on this market, and will not update any of my current results besides plat leaderboard performances

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