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MANIFOLD
Who will win the world cup?
5
แน€375แน€74
Jul 19
33%
France
12%
Argentina
5%
Spain
4%
Brazil
4%
England
4%
Germany
4%
Portugal
4%
Netherlands
4%
Italy
4%
Belgium
4%
Uruguay
4%
Croatia
4%
USA
4%
Japan
4%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

  • Source of Truth: The market will resolve according to the official tournament standings and final match results published on the FIFA Official Website.

  • Unlisted Teams: Any country not explicitly listed in the starting options that wins the World Cup will resolve to the "Other" option, which is automatically appended to this market.

  • Eliminated/Non-qualifying Teams: Any team that did not qualify for the tournament or has already been eliminated at the time of resolution will resolve to No.

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is currently underway, co-hosted by Canada, Mexico, and the United States. Running from June 11 to July 19, 2026, this iteration is the first to feature an expanded 48-team format.

Current status of several key nations:

  • Italy failed to qualify for the tournament entirely.

  • Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, and Uruguay have already been eliminated during the group stages or the Round of 32.

  • Contenders such as defending champions Argentina, France, Brazil, Spain, England, Belgium, and the USA remain active as the tournament progresses through its knockout stage.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market context
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