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Will Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu meet in person in year 2025?

2% chance

Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the end of 2025?

4% chance

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?

96% chance

Will Joe Biden outlive the Trump Presidency?

66% chance

Will Joe Biden outlive Donald Trump?

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Will Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu meet in person in year 2029?

4% chance

Will Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu meet in person in year 2027?

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Will Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu meet in person in year 2026?

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Will Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu meet in person in year 2028?

4% chance

Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?

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Will resolve a week from Monday!

Ok I extended it until Jan 1, 2025

bought Ṁ100 NO

@JohnLynch I would argue this shouldn't close now, because the original purpose was to stop live trading based on election. Since Biden isn't running and will expectedly leave office on January 20 regardless of election outcome it feels unnecessary.

Israel’s head of state is the President, Isaac Herzog.

@Nhoj it is actually a federal crime in the US to understand the difference between Head of State and Head of Government.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Probably equivalent to "does Biden win reelection" (there's cases where Bibi goes before January or after 2028, but I don't think they're super likely).