"Stagflation is an economic condition characterized by slowing economic growth, high unemployment, and rising prices (inflation) simultaneously."

Definitions of the win conditions are a bit variable in terms of time frame and what constitutes an abnormal amount of job loss or inflation to qualify, so I am open to feedback on the specifics. Currently though, I am going to consider a 6 month period of all three conditions being met for 95%+ of that time period as qualifying regarding time. Inflation needs to be above 2.5% for 95%+ of the duration to qualify for stagflation/high inflation and below 1.5% to be deflation/low inflation. A rise in unemployment of 5% or more above some baseline before the period, that does not fall below that 5% threshold for 95%+ of the period, qualifies regarding unemployment. If the US GDP is less than 1.5% for 95%+ of the duration, it will qualify as slow economic growth, with above 4% qualifying as high GDP growth.

GDP growth is being used interchangably with economic growth and as the measure of the economy for now. Feel free to suggest otherwise if there is a better measure. In order for the stagflation option to win, technically it has the added invisible condition to meet of high unemployment which the other options don't need to consider. This mostly has to do with the current definition of stagflation taking employment into account and may be overridden if the definition of stagflation changes or if the inflation/recession indications are drastic enough to consider a disregard of unemployment numbers.

My sources say (as of the posting of this question) that with Trump's tarrifs and other actions creating problems and uncertainty for the economy/markets that stagflation is a real threat and possibility, though not guaranteed. Stagflation is also a rather uncommon economic phenomenon from my understanding as well.

I am not an economist and have only a basic understanding of the economy (though I do my best to meet the minimal threshold of education on the matter). Feel free to chime in on any updates we should be aware of regarding this as well as feedback for my question. I am not too active keeping up with my questions and checking whether any win conditions have been met.

Also the deadline is the midterms both in order to leave breathing room for the data to come in from the expected time it should occur (if at all)(I know the economic data can lag behind in its reporting) and because if stagflation, high/low inflation, or deflation occurs before then, it will make the midterms all the more interesting.