Will GPT-5 be released to the public by EOY?
Basic
51
Ṁ19kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there is a consumer-facing interface to an OpenAI model called GPT5 on or before Dec 31, 2023.
Will also resolve YES for a public beta (involving people not affiliated with OpenAI).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Similar, real-money prediction market over at Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/gpt5/gpt5-creation#gpt5-23dec31
Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
8% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Apr 2025?
30% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jun 2025?
54% chance
When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)
62% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before May 2025?
42% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2025?
57% chance
Will GPT 5 be realeased in Beta by EOY 2024?
16% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2025?
70% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Sep 2025?
70% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2024?
2% chance