Will GPT-5 be released to the public by EOY?
51
970Ṁ19kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there is a consumer-facing interface to an OpenAI model called GPT5 on or before Dec 31, 2023.
Will also resolve YES for a public beta (involving people not affiliated with OpenAI).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ128 | |
| 2 | Ṁ80 | |
| 3 | Ṁ66 | |
| 4 | Ṁ44 | |
| 5 | Ṁ35 |
Sort by:
Similar, real-money prediction market over at Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/gpt5/gpt5-creation#gpt5-23dec31
People are also trading
Related questions
GPT-5 released to the public by May 30, 2025?
1% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jun 2025?
5% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2025?
35% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2025?
50% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Sep 2025?
65% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Oct 2025?
85% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2025?
91% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jan 2026?
92% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Feb 2026?
96% chance
When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)
85% chance