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MANIFOLD
Will Seb Krier's Antichrist Meme tweet still be up on August 1st?
15
Ṁ100Ṁ2.7k
resolved Aug 2
Resolved
YES

This one: https://x.com/i/status/2081145288417333665

I am mutuals with Seb and can therefore verify it is up even if he locks. Because this market is absolutely unambiguous (he either deletes the tweet, or he doesn't) I will be betting in this market.

If it's up on August 1st this resolves YES if it's been deleted by then it resolves NO. Resolves NO as soon as the tweet is deleted.

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Is there a link where people who are not on X can view the tweet? When I click on the link, X simply tells me that the page doesn't exist, likely because I'm not a subscriber. But I am curious as to what the Tweet actually is.

@ChrisCook Oh weird he locked again. The tweet is still up in any case.

@JohnDavidPressman This is a little annoying because I was going to use archive.is or similar to document that the tweet is definitely still up at this time. Anyone else mutuals with Seb willing to confirm?

@JohnDavidPressman https://x.com/i/status/2083730452758860238

Alright this should work as proof, resolving now.

It's August 1st and the tweet is still up

@Bair This is true, but the market is set to end in eight hours so I plan to let them pass. But yes, lol. Many markets that end on a day in fact end on e.g. 5PM on that day. I doubt he's going to take it down though.