Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Bitcoin closes above $85,000 USD on Sunday, February 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Resolution will be determined using the closing price from a major cryptocurrency exchange such as Coinbase, Kraken, or CoinMarketCap. The market resolves NO if Bitcoin closes at or below $85,000 USD at that time.

Background

Bitcoin was trading at $77,925.99 at 8:37 a.m. ET on Monday, up about 1%. Bitcoin fell below $80,000 for the first time since April 2025, and the digital coin has fallen about 12% in the last seven days. More than $2 billion of bitcoin long and short positions have been liquidated since Thursday, contributing to recent volatility.

Considerations

With weekend trading thinning order books and sidelining major institutions, bitcoin's price remains driven largely by leverage, positioning and shallow market depth rather than by fundamental economic shifts. This means price movements over the weekend may be more volatile and less reflective of broader market sentiment than weekday trading.

This description was generated by AI.