Will today's Iranian attacks on Israel result in ten or more Israeli deaths?
54
1kṀ19kresolved Apr 15
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve to yes if Iran kills ten or more Israelis on Israelian soil by the end of Sunday, April 14th.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ481 | |
2 | Ṁ325 | |
3 | Ṁ201 | |
4 | Ṁ97 | |
5 | Ṁ50 |
Sort by:
I think this can resolve NO. There was exactly one serious injury: Young girl seriously hurt in Iran attack remains in life-threatening condition | The Times of Israel.
"A 7-year-old girl, the only person in Israel who sustained significant injuries in the unprecedented attack by Iran overnight Saturday-Sunday, remained in life-threatening condition the following day at Soroka Medical Center in Beersheba."
@admissions they might add missiles once the drones get close. Also, we don't know how many they launched. If they launched hundreds it may be difficult for Israeli air defense to deal with all of them.
Related questions
Related questions
If Israel attacks Iran within 3 months, will 15+ people be killed as a result of the attack?
12% chance
If Iran launches more missiles towards Israel in response to the recent attack will 2 or more people die
61% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 10 months of being attacked by them?
36% chance
if >10 people die in Israel as a result from Iran's missile strikes will there be a formal war between Iran and Israel
19% chance
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?
10% chance
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
6% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 11 months of being attacked by them?
39% chance
If Israel attacks Iran within 3 months, will anyone be killed as a result of the attack?
68% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 9 months of being attacked by them?
48% chance