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MANIFOLD
Is immigration a net positive for a country's economy?
22
Ṁ110Ṁ3k
resolved Nov 2
Resolved
NO

Resolves to YES if the % at close is > 50, no otherwise.

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predictedYES

Ok. Learned my lesson on this one, should have realized one guy with a lot of mana can just do that.

predictedNO

Lol. every time.

predictedNO

@chrisjbillington it is a poorly constructed market.

predictedYES

ignore this, dumb

predictedNO

@jacksonpolack I guess everyone is retired at 80.

predictedYES

ignore this, dumb

predictedNO

@jacksonpolack yes, if you assume the data is bad and supports your conclusion, you can conclude that it is bad and supports your conclusion.

Pensions in Denmark are very generous even if you were on welfare your whole life.

predictedYES

I'm not reasoning towards a preferred conclusion here. I was being dumb for other reasons, though, whoops.

It depends on the kind of immigration... When only highly skilled people are allowed in and already have a job prospects, then it's a definite net positive. But in other cases it really depends. I feel like this market is more like "if prob at close is >50, then YES"