Resolution Criteria

The Clintons failed to appear for their scheduled depositions on January 14, 2026, and the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform initiated contempt of Congress proceedings against them. This market resolves YES if either Bill Clinton or Hillary Clinton invokes the Fifth Amendment or executive privilege during any testimony they provide to Congress regarding Epstein. This includes depositions, hearings, or other official congressional proceedings. The market resolves NO if they testify without invoking either privilege, or if they continue to refuse to testify and the contempt proceedings conclude without them ever providing testimony. Resolution will be determined by official congressional records or credible news reports documenting their invocation of these privileges.

Background

The House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform issued deposition subpoenas to Bill and Hillary Clinton for testimony related to crimes perpetrated by Jeffrey Epstein. Bill Clinton developed a social and professional relationship with Epstein that began in the early 1990s and continued into the early 2000s, and after Clinton left office, he traveled on Epstein's private jet on several occasions for charitable trips. Clinton has denied any knowledge of Epstein's criminal activities, and Clinton has not been accused of wrongdoing in the Epstein case.

Considerations

Some legal experts have suggested the Clintons could claim executive privilege to avoid testifying, but others say the relationships they maintained while in their personal capacities would not be subject to executive privilege. If they do testify, they can negotiate over the terms and plead the Fifth Amendment once they get there. Ghislaine Maxwell's lawyers previously said that she would plead her Fifth Amendment rights in any interview, providing precedent for this approach in the Epstein investigation.

This description was generated by AI.

Resolution Criteria

The House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform has recommended that the U.S. House of Representatives find former President Bill Clinton and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in contempt of Congress for refusing to comply with duly issued bipartisan subpoenas. This market resolves YES if either Bill Clinton or Hillary Clinton invokes the Fifth Amendment or executive privilege during any testimony they provide to Congress regarding Epstein. This includes depositions, hearings, or other official congressional proceedings. The market resolves NO if they testify without invoking either privilege, or if they continue to refuse to testify and the contempt proceedings conclude without them ever providing testimony. Resolution will be determined by official congressional records or credible news reports documenting their invocation of these privileges.

Background

President Clinton was a passenger on at least five trips consisting of a total of 26 flights on Mr. Epstein's private airplane, which was allegedly used for sex trafficking. Bill Clinton has repeatedly denied wrongdoing related to Epstein, the late convicted sex offender. The Clintons' testimony is critical to understanding Jeffrey Epstein's sex trafficking network, the ways Epstein sought to curry favor and influence to evade scrutiny, and how Congress can strengthen laws to better combat human trafficking.

Considerations

Some past Justice Department opinions suggest that a former president is immune from compelled congressional testimony. However, courts have not determined precisely how much power former presidents have to assert executive privilege or testimonial immunity. A witness must have a reasonable belief that their testimony might be used against them in a criminal prosecution to invoke the Fifth Amendment. This does not mean the witness must believe they have actually committed a crime or that truthful testimony would lead to conviction.

This description was generated by AI.