Should Manifold Markets implement this feature: Ban pseudonyms and require real names

#Self-resolving

8

37

Ṁ647

Ṁ100

resolved Feb 3

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Elsewhere (https://manifold.markets/JiaobeiMandos/will-manifold-markets-require-proof), Austin Chen has said that Manifold Markets is considering requiring additional forms of authentication, potentially including government ID. This would defacto require divulging your real name *to Manifold Markets*, which isn't the same thing as banning pseudonyms or requiring real names, since they might keep your real name private and identify you publicly by your username. Resolution: I commit to resolving this question according to whichever option gets the most support (i.e., "no" if %chance is less than 50, "yes" if % chance is greater than 50, and "N/A" if % chance is exactly 50). See here for a request to make this kind of thing a feature: https://manifold.markets/JiaobeiMandos/should-manifold-markets-implement-t) #ManifoldMarkets #FeatureRequest Feb 3, 9:39am: I'm resolving this to "yes" based on my commitment, but I will note that "yes" was at 2% until just before the end of the market.

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bought Ṁ5 of NO

I think the past 10 years have shown us that "real name" policies are fairly orthogonal to security and moderation considerations. Even if there is some marginal benefit to them though, I bite the bullet that I prefer the old web approach of allowing pseudonyms. I think there's better ways to combat botting than requiring a verified government ID or whatever.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

That would pretty much kill new users singing on, I'd think.

bought Ṁ1 of NO

I think it would be a really bad idea to implement this feature. My intent in creating this market is to see if people will bet against against (what I consider to be) a bad feature, or just ignore it.

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Self-resolving questions

If Manifold Markets were to shut down unless you bought 20$ worth of Mana with real money, would you buy it to save it?

Will this market get more than 100 Participants?

Related questions

Will Manifold allow market creators to noticeably prohibit themselves from trading on their own markets?

Will Manifold create functionality for market creators to pin key markets on their profile?

Will Manifold give users better options to hide unimportant markets?

Will manifold allow accounts to optionally declare demographic data to enhance polling?

Will Manifold users stop requesting changes to Manifold.markets by way of market creation by 2026?

Should Manifold ban suicide markets?

Does Manifold Markets need to give their users background knowledge on popular accounts?

Should Manifold add a check for exactly duplicate markets?

How might Manifold become “markets for reputation”?