MANIFOLD
Take advantage of my desperation on manifold leagues :3 (read description)
2
Ṁ100Ṁ65
Apr 1
87%
chance

tldr, has a 85% chance to resolve YES but I am willing to buy YES at 87%

I will put a large limit order for YES at 87% soon after market is created. After placing the limit order, I will not make additional bets.

Market resolves when either of the following happens:

-The limit order described above is filled.

-It is March 31st.

There may be a delay of up to a day since I am resolving manually.

When the market resolves, I will ask @FairlyRandom to generate an integer from 1 to 20. Resolves YES on 1-17 and NO on 18-20.

The reason I am making this market is that I predict that winning this bet earns enough profit to promote to diamond, so this would increase my chances of doing so. For you, however, is it a positive EV bet to bet against the limit order.

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This market isn't eligible to be ranked unfortunately!

@ian ranked markets have to be non-self-predictive

market resumes as usual

Actually you can just remove it apparently

opened a Ṁ6,666 YES at 87% order

For some reason the unranked tag was automatically added, so this doesn't work

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