Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Republican primary election for Nevada's 2nd Congressional District (NV-02), held on June 9, 2026.

The primary source for resolution will be the official election results published by the Nevada Secretary of State. If official results are delayed or contested, the market may be resolved based on a consensus projection from major election reporting outlets (such as the Associated Press, NBC News, or Decision Desk HQ). However, in the event of an extremely close race, recount, or legal challenge, the creator may wait until the results are officially certified by the state.

If a candidate not initially listed as an option wins the primary, the market will resolve to the "Other" option, which is automatically provided.

Background

The surprise retirement of Representative Mark Amodei (R), who has held the seat since 2011, has opened up Nevada's 2nd Congressional District for the first time in 15 years. Because NV-02 is a safe Republican seat that has never elected a Democrat, the winner of this June primary is heavily favored to win the general election in November.

Key candidates in this primary include:

• David Flippo: A retired Air Force Lieutenant Colonel and financial advisor who has secured the endorsement of Donald Trump.

• James Settelmeyer: Former state Senate Minority Leader endorsed by both Governor Joe Lombardo and retiring Rep. Mark Amodei.

• Fred Simon: A retired surgeon, business owner, and former 2022 gubernatorial candidate.

• Tom Doyle: A business advisor and candidate who was among the first to file for the seat.