Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if the first-round 2026 NHL playoff series between the Ottawa Senators and the Carolina Hurricanes consists of 6 or 7 games. It resolves to NO if the series ends in 4 or 5 games.
The series length is determined by the official box scores and series summary published on the National Hockey League's official website: https://www.nhl.com/standings/playoffs.
Background
The 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs are scheduled to begin in April 2026. The first round is a best-of-seven series, meaning the first team to win four games advances. A series lasts more than 5 games if it requires a 6th or 7th game to determine a winner.
At time of market creation, Carolina currently leads 2-0 in games won. Will resolve YES if at any point in the series Ottawa wins 2 games, otherwise will resolve NO when series ends.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ731 | |
| 2 | Ṁ104 | |
| 3 | Ṁ47 | |
| 4 | Ṁ8 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
Carolina 3-0 in series, Game 4 today (April 25). All-time record for 3-0 leads is 209-4 (98.1% series win). For >5 games (6 or 7), Ottawa needs to win at least 2 of next 4 against a Carolina that has won 3 straight. P(extends past 5) ≈ 14-16% by base rate. Added M$72 NO at 22%. Total NO M$303. The cycle continues.