In 2027, will Manifold poll show Minnesota shooting had greater immigration enforcement impact than Laken Riley?
8
239Ṁ2872027
70%
chance
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At the end of 2026 I will make a poll (basically) identical to this: {https://manifold.markets/JeromeHPowell/which-incident-do-you-believe-will}
The market will resolve to Yes, No, or 50%, 50% being in case of a tie. I am open to changes to this model of resolution, but if a lot of people trade before a change, I will keep it how it is most likely.
I am very interested!
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